Beyond top prizes, FAs could come relatively inexpensively

Say you strike out on the big time free agents this summer. Can you take your estimated $20 million if you are the Bulls and spread it around and to a core of Derrick Rose, Joakim Noah, Taj Gibson, Luol Deng and Kirk Hinrich, and add Marcus Camby, Luis Scola, Ray Allen and Steve Blake or Travis Outlaw?

Those are some of the potential third- and fourth-tier free agents who could come relatively inexpensively. Does it make some sense to consider a deeper, more talented roster than using up all your money on one player?

I generally go with five shirts from Kohl’s instead of one from Armani, though I guess you knew that already. The so-called championship formula is two or three stars, and I fully expect the Bulls to pursue that strategy.

So as we get into March, here’s a look at the top free agents and their odds of moving on.

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Joe Johnson: [...] He’s considered the most likely free agent to change teams.

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Dwyane Wade: [...] though owner Mickey Arison told the Ft. Lauderdale Sun Sentinel he’s 95 percent certain Wade will return. What does he know that I don’t?

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Chris Bosh: [...] I think Bosh still remains 50-50, which is far better for Toronto than the 100 percent everyone has assumed because he is in Canada.

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LeBron James: [...] I assume he re-ups, though I’d say an 80 percent chance and 100 percent he makes the Cavs sweat way more than they have already.

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