Which 2010 free agents are most likely to move?

Dwyane Wade, Miami: This Chicago-area native spends most of his summers in the city, so it seems logical to suggest if Wade does leave Miami next year he'd join the Bulls and form an all-local backcourt with Derrick Rose.

Wade almost single-handedly carried the Heat to a fifth-place finish in the East last year and he pretty much has the same team back. So on one hand, he might grow tired of having to carry the load for the Heat.

On the other hand, his Miami roots have grown deep during six years in South Florida. Knowing his departure could devastate the franchise, there's a good chance Wade could stay put and try to lure a free-agent power forward to the Heat next summer.

Chances of leaving: 20 percent

Chris Bosh, Raptors: If the Raptors miss the playoffs again, Bosh is liable to roam, with the Bulls and Miami likely destinations.

Chances of leaving: 50 percent

Carlos Boozer, Jazz:

Chances of leaving: 99 percent

LeBron James, Cavs: James' intentions have been tough to read, but if he does ditch Cleveland, it most likely will be to broaden his marketing empire with the Knicks or the Nets.

Chances of leaving: 30 percent

David Lee, Knicks: Lee signing a one-year deal with New York this summer is a nice scenario for the Bulls, since it brings another good option at power forward to the open market.

Chances of leaving: 50 percent

Amare Stoudemire, Suns:

Chances of leaving: 40 percent

Joe Johnson, Hawks:

Chances of leaving: 10 percent

Dirk Nowitzki, Mavs:

Chances of leaving: 5 percent

Manu Ginobili, Spurs:

Chances of leaving: 20 percent